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Exodus Movement, Inc. (EXOD)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue was $20.1M, up 68% YoY, but down ~10% sequentially; net income was $0.8M and operating loss was ~$0.052M, reflecting mark-to-market swings from digital assets under ASU 2023-08 .
- Exchange provider processed volume reached $0.96B (+69% YoY, -9% QoQ), and Monthly Active Users rose to 1.6M (vs. 1.1M a year ago; 1.5M in Q2), driven by crypto market strength and ramping partnerships (Magic Eden, Ledger) .
- Strategic progress: launched Passkeys, expanded Magic Eden Wallet to mobile, and integrated XO Swap into Ledger Live; management highlighted a strong start to Q4 alongside ongoing NYSE uplisting review (fifth SEC comment letter) .
- No formal quantitative guidance; management reiterated focus on profitability and disciplined scaling; estimate comparisons to Wall Street consensus were unavailable at time of request due to S&P Global data access limits .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong year-over-year growth and profitability: “In Q3, we grew revenue 68% year-over-year to $20.1 million and achieved net income of $0.8 million” .
- User and volume momentum: exchange provider processed volume $0.96B (+69% YoY), MAUs 1.6M vs. 1.1M last year; early partnership traction supports efficient user acquisition .
- Product and partnership execution: Magic Eden Wallet expanded to mobile, Ledger partnership integrated XO Swap, and Passkeys launched to simplify onboarding; “These achievements reflect the strength of our product innovation” .
What Went Wrong
- Sequential revenue decline (-10% QoQ) from seasonally slower market activity (late summer/early fall), after an exceptionally strong H1 .
- Operating margin remained slightly negative (“<-1%”) as operating loss (~$52k) and mark-to-market accounting introduced volatility; non-operating items helped deliver net income .
- Continued losses on digital assets: net loss on digital assets ~$370k in Q3 vs. ~$17.2M in Q2, reflecting treasury exposure and ASU 2023-08 adoption .
Financial Results
Summary Income Statement vs. Prior Year, Prior Quarter, and Estimates
*Estimates unavailable due to S&P Global request limits. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Q3 2024 operating loss (~$52k) implies operating margin “<-1%” per company presentation; we use disclosed margins rather than derived calculations .
Revenue by Category (Q3)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Discrepancy note: Q3 digital and liquid assets were cited as $194.7M in the press release and $194.6M on the call; we present the press release figure for consistency .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In Q3, we grew revenue 68% year-over-year to $20.1 million and achieved net income of $0.8 million. We launched an exciting new partnership with Ledger... expanded our partnership with Magic Eden to mobile... and launched Passkeys” — JP Richardson, CEO .
- “Year-over-year revenue growth was driven by increased user activity and the ramping up of our partnerships... Exchange aggregation made up 90.1% of total revenue... the sequential decline was due to seasonally slower activity” — James Gernetzke, CFO .
- “We ended the quarter with $194.6 million of digital and liquid assets... and no debt... our healthy corporate treasury provides flexibility to invest in technology, services, M&A, and marketing” — CFO .
- “Stablecoins are drawing capital to the crypto space... total issuance exceeded $100 billion... this translated to a strong start to Q4 for Exodus” — CEO .
- “Passkeys enables developers to embed our wallet capabilities... eliminating 12-word secret phrases” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- The transcript provided prepared remarks and indicated a Q&A session would follow, but Q&A content was not available in the retrieved document; management reiterated business model drivers, seasonality, treasury composition, and uplisting status in prepared comments .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) estimates for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable at the time of request due to S&P Global daily request limit constraints; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses vs. consensus in this recap [GetEstimates error].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q3 was solid on a YoY basis with $20.1M revenue (+68% YoY) and positive net income, but sequentially softer (-10% QoQ) due to seasonality; watch for Q4 follow-through given management’s “strong start” comment .
- Distribution-led growth is gaining traction: Magic Eden mobile expansion and Ledger’s XO Swap integration broaden user access with minimal custodial risk; this should support exchange aggregation revenue in volatile markets .
- Revenue mix remains dominated by exchange aggregation (~90%), indicating sensitivity to crypto volumes/volatility; fiat and staking are rising but still sub-10% combined .
- Earnings volatility from ASU 2023-08 fair value accounting persists (digital asset losses ~$370k in Q3 vs. ~$17.2M in Q2); treasury size and crypto price moves can swing reported operating/net results materially .
- Balance sheet is robust: ~$194.7M digital assets and cash and no debt provide flexibility for product investment and M&A; liquidity improvements may hinge on the NYSE uplisting resolution .
- User base growth remains healthy (MAUs 1.6M, +YoY), supported by partnerships and product enhancements (Passkeys); monitor MAU and processed volume as leading indicators .
- With no formal guidance and unavailable consensus estimates here, focus near-term on on-chain activity trends, partner activation (Ledger, Magic Eden), and Q4 usage momentum post-election and BTC strength for trading setups .